How did we do?

Looking over my predictions for yesterday, I can see that I was a bit overcautious. Actually, I was concerned I was overestimating the Obama-effect.

Here are my predictions and where the counts stand as of today:

• Obama by 6 points, tops 340 electoral votes. Obama by 6.1% with 349 electoral votes.

• McCain takes Missouri by a hair. McCain wins by less than 5900 votes.

• McCain takes Indiana. Obama currently holding Indiana by less than 23,000 votes.

• Obama takes Florida, Ohio, Virginia and Pennsylvania - just 3 will sew it up. Yes, yes, yes and yes.

• Obama changes map by taking Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico. (McCain's home state of Arizona prevents sweep of the southwest.) Obama wins Nevada by 12, Colorado by 7 and New Mexico by 15.

• McCain takes Georgia but Senate race will take a while to call. Georgia is still out, vote totals are lower than expected and a Chambliss/Martin run off is expected.

• Senate hits 58 or 59 but not 60. Senate takes 56, with 4 still undecided (including the Alaska race!) Looks like at least one recount in Minnesota and one runoff in Georgia.

• House picks up more Dems, but less than 20. Numbers vary depending on the source but NYT has Ds ahead by 19 with 9 still out. Of those, looks like 3 Ds, 4 Rs and the rest too close to call.

• Nixon wins the gubernatorial. Nixon won.

• Luetkemeyer takes the 9th Congressional (If Obama were doing better in the state, this would be the democrat's year.) Luetkemeyer won.

• Bradley effect proves non-existent. No Bradley effect whatsoever.